Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Last 16
Global 3-3
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALH
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALS
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 3
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALH
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALH
39%
25%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALH
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 0
ALI
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 0
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |