Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALH
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
ALH
4 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
ALH
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -6 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ALH
4 - 0
POL
32%
23%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +4 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
KHA
2 - 4
ALH
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
BBA
0 - 1
ZAM
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ALT
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
ZAM
4 - 2
ALQ
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 1
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
ALE
0 - 1
ZAM
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |