Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ALH
5 - 0
WHS
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 4
ALH
14%
27%
59%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ALH
4 - 0
ASH
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ALH
5 - 0
ALR
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALH
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ALR
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
ALH
47%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ASH
4 - 2
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
WHS
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |