Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
ALH
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HIL
2 - 0
ALH
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALA
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
USM
0 - 0
ALH
88%
10%
2%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 2
USM
11%
22%
67%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ALR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
WAD
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
ALN
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
OBA
1 - 0
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |