Al Hikma vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
6º
3º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Hikma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
HIK
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
HIK
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 1
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
HIK
2 - 3
ALA
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 2
TAD
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
NAB
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |