Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
GHA
2 - 2
SAD
36%
22%
42%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
GHA
2 - 1
KHO
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ADS
0 - 0
GHA
46%
22%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 2
ALS
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
WAK
1 - 1
GHA
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
UMM
1 - 1
ALS
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
WAK
1 - 4
UMM
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
UMM
2 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
UMM
2 - 0
ARA
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AHL
0 - 1
UMM
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |