Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
6º
18
9º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AHL
3 - 3
GHA
30%
24%
47%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SAD
1 - 2
GHA
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 1
GHA
41%
24%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
WAK
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
SAI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
UMM
0 - 0
RAY
21%
25%
55%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UMM
1 - 0
SAI
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
WAK
4 - 0
UMM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
UMM
1 - 1
SAD
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
UMM
0 - 1
AHL
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |