Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
GHA
1 - 0
WAK
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAD
4 - 1
GHA
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AHL
0 - 4
GHA
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GHA
6 - 3
KHO
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ADS
0 - 3
GHA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
SAI
1 - 1
UMM
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
UMM
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
UMM
1 - 0
ALK
35%
25%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAD
3 - 1
UMM
90%
8%
2%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
UMM
0 - 2
AHL
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |