Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GHA
1 - 1
QAT
51%
22%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AHL
0 - 4
GHA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAD
1 - 1
GHA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GHA
2 - 1
SAI
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GHA
1 - 3
QAT
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UMM
1 - 0
ARA
35%
24%
42%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
5 - 1
UMM
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
UMM
4 - 1
AHL
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
UMM
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SAI
2 - 1
UMM
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |