Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ALK
0 - 4
GHA
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 3
GHA
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 0
QAT
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAI
0 - 1
GHA
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
2 - 1
ARA
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
KHO
0 - 1
UMM
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ALS
1 - 1
UMM
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
UMM
1 - 3
ARA
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 0
UMM
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
AHL
1 - 4
UMM
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |