Al-Gharafa vs Al-Wakrah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
3º
38
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 2
GHA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 2
ALS
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
5 - 4
ARA
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
3 - 4
GHA
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GHA
5 - 2
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Wakrah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
WAK
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AHL
4 - 2
WAK
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAK
3 - 0
QAT
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
WAK
1 - 0
QAT
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WAK
2 - 1
UMM
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |