Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
5 - 0
GHA
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
4 - 2
AIN
24%
21%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAD
4 - 2
GHA
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 3
GHA
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
GHA
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
KHO
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 4
AHL
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 2
ALS
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UMM
1 - 2
ALS
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |