Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
3º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
GHA
24%
22%
54%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 0
GHA
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
GHA
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 3
SHA
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ADS
4 - 0
RAY
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 1
UMM
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 5
RAY
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 2
WAS
26%
21%
54%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
VVV
3 - 1
RAY
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |