Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
3º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
GHA
18%
21%
62%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 2
SAD
34%
23%
43%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 1
GHA
30%
21%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 4
GHA
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
AHL
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 2
UMM
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
WAK
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
RAY
21%
21%
58%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
RAY
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |