Al-Gharafa vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
WAK
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 0
GHA
23%
22%
56%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
GHA
44%
24%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 1
GHA
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALQ
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALN
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
5 - 1
AIN
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALH
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALT
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |