AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LEK
0 - 2
GHA
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 0
GHA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 0
PAK
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 2
RAY
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 1
GHA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 0
GHA
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALW
1 - 3
ALH
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ALH
5 - 1
ALF
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ALH
0 - 2
ALH
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALT
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |