Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
6º
51
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 3
GHA
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
GHA
22%
23%
56%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 2
GHA
20%
23%
56%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GHA
0 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
GHA
4 - 1
QAT
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Duhail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 2
ADS
27%
22%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SAD
0 - 2
ADS
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 3
ADS
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UMM
0 - 1
ADS
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ADS
3 - 1
SAD
42%
21%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |