Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Al-Fateh SC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALF
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALT
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALS
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |