Alfalah Atbra vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
KHA
1 - 0
AFA
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AFA
2 - 2
HAW
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 0
AFA
77%
15%
7%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
AFA
1 - 2
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HIL
2 - 0
AFA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
ALR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
KHA
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
OBA
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 1
MER
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
MER
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |