Alfalah Atbra vs Al Ahli Khartoum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
17º
11º
38
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 0
AFA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 0
AFA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
AFA
1 - 2
TUT
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
AFA
2 - 0
ASH
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
AFA
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASH
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALA
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
KHA
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALH
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALA
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |