Al Dhafra vs Baniyas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 0
MAS
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 3
ALD
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
FUJ
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALU
4 - 2
ALD
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
SHA
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baniyas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
SHA
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALH
7 - 1
BAY
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 0
PAK
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
AHD
6 - 4
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 0
DUB
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |