Al-Basit vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Basit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DBA
3 - 1
ABA
51%
23%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ABA
0 - 3
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ELB
2 - 0
ABA
55%
23%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OMA
0 - 4
ABA
46%
25%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
ABA
47%
25%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAR
34%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
MAN
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOT
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
DBA
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |