CAF Champions . Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Al-Ahly vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPM
0 - 0
ALA
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
ALA
23%
28%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 2
ENP
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
SIM
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPM
0 - 0
ALA
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VCL
1 - 2
TPM
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
AIG
0 - 3
TPM
16%
27%
57%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
TPM
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TPM
0 - 0
PET
61%
20%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |