Al Ahly SC vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
ELR
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 0
PET
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAM
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 3
ELM
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
ELS
2 - 2
SMO
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 2
SMO
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SMO
4 - 1
PET
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SMO
2 - 1
GEI
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |