Al Ahly SC vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
NBE
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
SMO
3 - 0
ALA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
MOK
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
GOU
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 4
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
QRO
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
ATS
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |