CAF Champions League Semi-finals
Global 7-4
Al Ahly SC vs ES Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 1
ELR
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ETO
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
ALA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ETO
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ETO
2 - 0
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ETO
44%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
USM
0 - 1
ETO
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |