Al Ahly SC vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
ASY
77%
14%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 2
ZAM
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PET
1 - 2
ALA
32%
30%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
WAD
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -9 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
ESP
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
ETO
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -11 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CSS
0 - 2
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +11 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
GOR
62%
20%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |