Al Ahly SC vs Al Mokawloon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALA
17%
28%
55%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 0
ALA
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
5 - 0
ASY
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALA
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 0
APR
85%
12%
3%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Al Mokawloon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MOK
3 - 2
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
GOU
2 - 1
MOK
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
MOK
1 - 2
MIS
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOK
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SMO
2 - 1
MOK
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |