Al Ahly SC vs Al Mokawloon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ELS
0 - 1
ALA
41%
29%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 1
SMO
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
EEE
1 - 1
ALA
34%
30%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
GEI
62%
24%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 2
ALA
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Mokawloon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
MOK
0 - 1
ISM
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
ENP
3 - 0
MOK
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
MOK
4 - 1
ELD
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ITT
2 - 1
MOK
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MOK
4 - 1
GOU
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |