Al Ahly Shendi vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly Shendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
HAY
0 - 0
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALM
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +16 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
WHS
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
ELA
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
ALH
2 - 1
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 2
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +11 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
HAY
43%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |