Al Ahly Shendi vs Alfalah Atbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly Shendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
WAD
1 - 0
ALA
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 1
WAD
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
AFA
1 - 1
ALA
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 2
AFA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
WAD
0 - 1
AFA
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
AFA
2 - 2
ALA
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
WAD
2 - 0
AFA
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |