Al-Ahly Merowe vs Tuti SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
17º
16º
27
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AAS
0 - 0
ASH
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALH
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAY
36%
29%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
WNK
0 - 0
AAS
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tuti SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
TUT
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
ALR
1 - 0
TUT
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 1
HAW
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
AFA
1 - 2
TUT
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
TUT
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |