Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
AAS
40%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAY
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
AAS
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
AAS
2 - 0
MER
61%
22%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OBA
2 - 1
HAY
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 2
OBA
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
OBA
1 - 0
MER
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
HIL
0 - 1
OBA
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
OBA
0 - 0
HAW
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |