Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 1
AAS
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
AAS
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 0
OMD
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
AAS
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
AAS
1 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
OBA
4 - 1
ALA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
KHA
2 - 2
OBA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
OBA
2 - 0
HAW
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
OMD
2 - 0
OBA
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |