Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
KHA
0 - 1
AAS
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
AAS
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 1
HAY
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
AAS
1 - 3
ALH
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
OBA
2 - 1
AAS
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 0
HAY
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
OBA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 0
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
OBA
4 - 0
ASH
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
OBA
4 - 0
HAW
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |