Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
OBA
0 - 2
AAS
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 2
AAS
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAW
4 - 2
AAS
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 0
WNK
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
OBA
2 - 2
AAS
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hilal El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 1
ALA
49%
27%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
HIL
31%
29%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 2
ASH
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
HIL
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 0
HAY
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |