Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 0
AAS
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 0
AAS
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AAS
2 - 0
ASH
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
KHA
1 - 1
AAS
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
HIL
2 - 3
HAY
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
HIL
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 2
HIL
41%
29%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
HIL
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
HIL
2 - 6
ALH
40%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |