Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Shorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
AAS
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 0
AAS
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AAS
2 - 3
ALM
7%
22%
70%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAY
1 - 0
AAS
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AAS
1 - 2
WHS
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 3
ALA
18%
29%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 1
ASH
37%
29%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 0
ALH
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
ELA
1 - 2
ASH
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 1
ALH
17%
27%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |