Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Mourada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
AAS
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
AAS
1 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
ALH
0 - 1
AAS
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALA
29%
27%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Mourada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
OMD
2 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
KHA
1 - 0
OMD
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
OMD
2 - 0
OBA
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |