Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra analysis

Al-Ahly Merowe Alfalah Atbra
37 ELO 41
-17.6% Tilt -13.1%
7770º General ELO ranking 7247º
17º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Al-Ahly Merowe
24.3%
Draw
40.1%
Alfalah Atbra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Al-Ahly Merowe
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.1%
Win probability
Alfalah Atbra
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Ahly Merowe
-7%
-14%
Alfalah Atbra

Points and table prediction

Al-Ahly Merowe
Their league position
Alfalah Atbra
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
17º
16º
29
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al-Hilal Omdurman
50
66
81.5%
Al-Merreikh SC
48
62
81.5%
Hay Al-Arab
51
51
100%
Haidoub SC
42
42
65%
Hay Al Wadi
37
41
41%
Al Ahli Khartoum
38
39
52.5%
Alamal Atbara
10º
35
38
32%
Hilal El-Fasher
36
37
38%
Hilal Alsahil
35
35
15.5%
Al Shorta
35
35
10º
28.5%
Alfalah Atbra
13º
29
33
11º
27.5%
Wad Nobawi
11º
32
33
12º
43%
Kober
12º
32
32
13º
68.5%
Al Ahly Shendi
14º
28
29
14º
80%
Tuti SC
15º
27
27
15º
81.5%
Al-Ahly Merowe
16º
25
25
16º
52.5%
17º
24
25
17º
51%
Al-Rabita Kosti
18º
22
23
18º
70.5%
Expected probabilities
Al-Ahly Merowe
Alfalah Atbra
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
7.5% 100%
Relegation
92.5% 0%

ELO progression

Al-Ahly Merowe
Alfalah Atbra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
AAS
Al-Ahly Merowe
3 - 1
Alamal Atbara
ALA
33%
26%
40%
35 41 6 0
02 Apr. 2023
KHA
Al Khartoum
2 - 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
AAS
48%
24%
28%
36 35 1 -1
22 Mar. 2023
ALM
Al-Merreikh SC
2 - 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
AAS
68%
19%
13%
36 42 6 0
17 Mar. 2023
AAS
Al-Ahly Merowe
2 - 2
Kober
KSC
40%
24%
36%
36 38 2 0
12 Mar. 2023
AAS
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 - 1
Al Ahli Khartoum
ALA
33%
30%
37%
36 42 6 0

Matches

Alfalah Atbra
Alfalah Atbra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
ALA
Al Ahly Shendi
0 - 0
Alfalah Atbra
AFA
32%
24%
44%
41 36 5 0
31 Mar. 2023
ALR
Al-Rabita Kosti
0 - 0
Alfalah Atbra
AFA
32%
24%
44%
41 36 5 0
21 Mar. 2023
AFA
Alfalah Atbra
0 - 1
Wad Nobawi
WNK
54%
24%
22%
42 40 2 -1
17 Mar. 2023
ALA
Alamal Atbara
0 - 0
Alfalah Atbra
AFA
34%
28%
38%
42 39 3 0
11 Mar. 2023
KHA
Al Khartoum
0 - 0
Alfalah Atbra
AFA
30%
23%
48%
42 34 8 0