Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ALR
1 - 0
AAS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALH
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
OBA
1 - 1
AAS
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AAS
2 - 2
ASH
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
AAS
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
AFA
0 - 0
ALA
24%
29%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 0
AFA
35%
28%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
AFA
0 - 0
ALH
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AFA
2 - 1
ELA
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ALH
5 - 0
AFA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |