Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al Wefaq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 0
RAS
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
ALH
1 - 0
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
ITT
1 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ALS
1 - 2
TRI
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 3
TRI
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al Wefaq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
ITT
2 - 0
ALW
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
SHA
0 - 1
ALW
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
AWT
1 - 1
ALW
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALW
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
ALW
0 - 1
AMT
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |