Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al Hilal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
6º
1º
6
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 0
AAB
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ANB
3 - 1
TRI
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
TRI
6 - 3
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
TRI
11%
21%
69%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Al Hilal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
ITT
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ANB
0 - 0
ALH
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
ASF
2 - 1
ALH
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |