Al Ahli SC Sarba vs Homenmen Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli SC Sarba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITC
54%
21%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
WEM
2 - 0
ASA
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 3
SHA
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
ASA
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ASA
2 - 0
WEM
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Homenmen Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
AIC
0 - 3
HOB
36%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOB
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
HOB
2 - 2
SMA
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HOB
1 - 3
AIC
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ITC
2 - 0
HOB
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |