Al Ahli Khartoum vs Alfalah Atbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
8º
6º
29
6º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 0
ALA
51%
27%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
AAS
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ASH
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALA
50%
27%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
AFA
2 - 0
HIL
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
AFA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAW
1 - 0
AFA
54%
26%
19%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
AFA
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AFA
0 - 2
ALM
12%
23%
66%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |