Al Ahli Khartoum vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
8º
6º
25
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALA
54%
27%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALA
53%
27%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
HAW
48%
28%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
AFA
33%
26%
40%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 0
ALA
51%
27%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 0
HIL
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 2
HEN
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
2 - 2
AAS
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
2 - 0
AAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
AAS
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |