Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Last 16
Global 3-1
Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALS
0 - 3
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALW
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALF
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALS
0 - 3
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SAD
1 - 0
ALS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALS
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ZOB
0 - 1
ALS
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |