Al-Ahli SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALH
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
0 - 2
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
ALA
4 - 1
ALS
78%
14%
7%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
ALS
6 - 1
ALN
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
ALN
0 - 2
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALR
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
ALK
2 - 3
ALN
13%
22%
66%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |