Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALA
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ALA
4 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
HIK
2 - 2
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 2
SAF
44%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 0
TAD
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tadamon Sour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
SAF
5 - 2
TAD
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
HIK
3 - 1
TAD
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ALN
5 - 1
TAD
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 0
TAD
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 0
TAD
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |