Akzhayik vs Astana II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
7º
4º
19
10º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akzhayik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 4
AKZ
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKZ
0 - 1
ARY
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
AKZ
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
AKZ
10 - 2
KYR
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AKZ
0 - 0
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Astana II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 1
KAI
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARY
3 - 0
FKA
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
FKA
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
KYR
3 - 0
FKA
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 3
FKZ
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |